1. 李强：中国今年的宏观政策充分考虑了各种不确定因素，也有充足的储备政策工具，完全能够对冲外部不利影响。<span cl...
2025-04-09 08:32:57
1. 李强：中国宏观政策稳健应对全球不确定性，储备工具充足保障经济韧性
国务院总理李强强调，中国2024年宏观政策已全面评估国际形势波动风险，储备政策工具箱丰富，能有效缓冲美联储加息等外部冲击对资本市场的影响。
2. 全球债市抛售潮持续：美日欧长期债券收益率集体飙升
主要发达国家债券市场遭遇大规模抛售，美国10年期国债收益率突破4.3%，日本30年期国债收益率创2003年以来新高，反映市场对通胀顽固性的担忧加剧。
3. 美债收益率曲线陡峭化释放衰退信号，长端债券供需失衡
2/10年期美债收益率利差达2022年以来最大值，财政部增发长期债券加剧市场压力，或预示投资者对经济前景转向悲观。
4. 避险资产信仰崩塌？美债抛售反映深层市场逻辑变化
分析师指出，传统避险资产美债遭抛售，显示在高利率持久化预期下，机构投资者正在重构资产配置模型。
5. 亚洲债券市场分化：中国国债受追捧 韩债纳入指数延期
富时罗素推迟韩债纳入WGBI决定，与景顺报告显示的亚洲投资级债券稳健表现形成对比，区域信用利差可能进一步扩大。
6. 中欧债券市场动态：欧盟70亿欧元发债vs中国地方融资创新
欧盟通过债券发行筹措关税应对资金，同期吉林省推出企业债融资支持政策，反映不同经济体应对挑战的融资策略差异。
7. 信贷市场警报：美国垃圾债风险攀升vs中国房企融资回暖
穆迪警告美国企业债降级风险，而中国3月房企债券融资环比增长12%，显示不同市场信用周期错位。
8. 货币政策新动向：全球"higher for longer"利率与中国降息周期
中小银行跟进存款降息之际，欧洲短债仍受降息预期支撑，凸显主要央行货币政策路径分化。
对投资者的影响分析：
• 需警惕美债作为传统资产定价锚的失效风险
• 亚洲债券市场将呈现更显著的结构性机会
• 中国政策工具箱释放将利好人民币资产估值
• 全球资本可能重新评估新兴市场债券风险溢价
• 信贷市场分化要求加强个券信用分析
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每日美盘前的技术面汇总，今天5个主流交易品种有做多机会，其中商品2个，外汇3个！Next article：
据英国金融时报：美国将对国际船舶碳税采取报复措施。7x24 Newsflash
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