Economist questionnaire survey: the first quarter of economic growth of not less than 5%, the stock market and foreign exchange market are expected to remain resilient

On April 15th, the Securities Times recently launched the "Times Economic Eye: Economists' Questionnaire Survey in the First Quarter of 2025". The respondents included authoritative economists from government departments, research institutions, and well-known universities. The questionnaire aims to accurately grasp the economic operation situation, with a view to providing decision-making reference for stabilizing the economic market in the next stage. This questionnaire invites the interviewed economists to review the economic operation in the first quarter, look forward to the internal and external economic situation in the second quarter, and suggest the next step of macro policy. As of April 14th, a total of 57 responses were collected. The results of this survey show that most respondents are optimistic that the economic growth rate in the first quarter will not be less than 5%. The stock market and foreign exchange market are expected to remain resilient in the second quarter. It is expected that the excessive imposition of tariffs in the United States will significantly exacerbate the In the short term, external shocks will cause some pressure on the smooth operation of our country's economy, and it is necessary to increase the counter-cyclical adjustment of macro policies in the second quarter. Economists interviewed suggested that in the future, incremental fiscal policies can be considered to strengthen the expansion of tax cuts and fees.