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The risk of a U.S. recession has skyrocketed

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2025-04-30 12:46:40
US Quarter 1 GDP unexpectedly fell into contraction, and the risk of a US recession surged. US financial trading and prediction market platform Kalshi currently forecasts a 74% chance of a US recession this year.
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04:00 2025-06-29
The average price of a giant whale is 2438.5 US dollars to clear 1550.4 ETH, worth 3.78 million US dollars
According to the chain analyst Ai aunt (@ai_9684xtpa) monitoring, a ETH whale 47 days after the average price of 2438.5 US dollars clearance of 1550.4 ETH, worth 3.78 million US dollars, loss 69,000 US dollars. The whale on May 12 at an average price of 2482.73 US dollars in the chain to buy a large amount of ETH, during the maximum floating profit 614,000 US dollars but not profit.
03:51 2025-06-29
El Salvador bought another BTC as its strategic reserve about 10 minutes ago
According to Bitcoin Magazine, El Salvador bought 1 BTC as its strategic reserve about 10 minutes ago.
03:42 2025-06-29
Coinbase Product Owner: Account limits have been reduced by 80%, fraud model improved by about 20%
Dor, head of product at Coinbase, said in a post on the X platform that a fraud case was dealt with on Friday. After choosing to suspend the transaction and requesting more information from the user about the transaction, the account owner decided to reject the transaction and restrict the account due to the inability to contact the account owner. The purpose is to protect the user from unauthorized account access and withdrawal, but it caused a frustrating experience for a legitimate user (the ...
03:42 2025-06-29
Trader Unipcs makes $4 million on USELESS, fully recovers previous losses
According to Lookonchain, as the token $USELESS broke through an all-time high, Unipcs is currently making a profit of $4 million on $USELESS, fully recouping all previous losses. Meanwhile, someone created a new wallet and withdrew $608,000 USDC from Coinbase to buy 4 million $USELESS.
03:21 2025-06-29
The US Senate has voted to pass the "Big and Beautiful" bill
According to CCTV international news, on June 28 local time, the US Senate passed a procedural motion by 51 votes to 49, which aims to advance the large-scale tax and spending bill called "big and beautiful" by US President Trump. After the procedural vote of the US Senate passed, the possibility of the bill passing in the next few days increased. It is reported that after the procedural motion is passed, the large-scale tax and spending bill will go through readings, debates, amendment votes an...
03:21 2025-06-29
CME Fed Watch: The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in July is 18.6%
According to CME "Fed Watch" data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in July is 18.6%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 81.4%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged through September is 8.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 74.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 16.6%. The Federal Reserve's next two FOMC meetings will be held on July 30 and September 17, respectively.
02:56 2025-06-29
10X Research: Despite Coinbase's strong uptrend, regression models suggest it is overvalued
10X Research released a report saying that its regression model shows that despite the strong upward trend in Coinbase's share price, its valuation is too high. The report also analyzed the reasons for Coinbase's rise: Coinbase (share price above 7-day moving average - > bullish, also above 30-day moving average - > bullish, 1-week change + 47.8%) was driven by an increase in Bernstein's price target to $510, citing its stablecoin business and institutional services. The Senate passed the GENIUS...
02:41 2025-06-29
Trump's tax reform bill was blocked late at night, and the three Republicans' "anti-water" procedural vote was deadlocked
According to the Wall Street Journal, late Saturday night local time, US President Donald Trump's tax and spending super bill was stuck in the Senate - some Republican lawmakers defected against advancing the bill, and other party colleagues refused to vote in favor of controversial provisions such as Medicaid and clean energy, leading to the landmark...
02:29 2025-06-29
Data: Bitcoin has returned an average of 37% 60 days after major geopolitical events since 2020.
According to Binance Research, bitcoin has historically rallied after major geopolitical events, with an average return of 37% 60 days after an event since 2020.
02:29 2025-06-29
Data: Retail investor demand hits six-month low, down 10% in 30 days
According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn, demand from retail investors (transfers between $10 and $30 on the 0-day moving average) has declined by 10% in the past month to a six-month low.
02:26 2025-06-29
Head of strategy at Metaplanet Capital: company financing does not generate cash flow risk and does not consider borrowing money from banks
Shinpei Okuno, head of strategy at Metaplanet Capital, clarified in a post on the X platform that the company had no intention of borrowing money from banks in the first place, as no bank would provide loans with bitcoin as collateral. At the same time, Metaplanet's financial operation does not create cash flow risk (i.e. the risk of having to sell bitcoin), but depends on the day's price of bitcoin (therefore, equity financing is currently the company's main...
02:26 2025-06-29
Binance Alpha traded at $469 million yesterday, remaining low
According to the @pandajackson42 data panel, Binance Alpha trading volume recorded $469 million on June 28, which remains low. Among them, BR trading volume 329 million US dollars, VELO trading volume 23.13 million US dollars, F trading volume 22.92 million US dollars in the forefront.