Home > Quick > Body

巴克莱:美元可能进一步下跌,但强劲的美国经济数据将限制跌势

clock
2025-05-21 15:53:59

巴克莱分析师:美元短期承压但跌幅有限,三大关键因素决定走势



巴克莱银行分析师团队最新研究报告指出,美元汇率近期可能延续下行趋势,但强调在美国经济基本面保持韧性的背景下,其贬值空间将受到限制。报告详细分析了影响美元走势的三大核心因素:



1. 债市波动构成主要压力

当前债券市场的剧烈波动正在形成对美元的压制效应,特别是美债收益率的不稳定表现直接影响国际资本流动。



2. 政策风险与数据表现

报告特别警示两大潜在风险点:美国贸易政策可能出现反复(包括关税政策的意外调整)以及经济数据不及预期,这些都可能加速美元贬值。



3. 财政政策双重影响

分析师指出,虽然市场对短期预算赤字存在担忧,但特朗普政府延续财政宽松路线的可能性更大,这种政策取向中长期反而可能支撑美元走强。



对投资者的关键影响:

1. 外汇市场:需警惕短期波动但避免过度看空

2. 资产配置:美元资产仍具防御性价值

3. 贸易对冲:建议企业加强汇率风险管理

4. 政策敏感度:重点关注财政政策与贸易谈判进展



报告最后强调,近期关税紧张局势的缓和降低了美国经济受损风险,这为美元提供了隐性支撑,投资者在制定策略时应区分短期波动与中长期趋势。

Web3 Desktop Trading Tool
Stay ahead of the game in the cryptocurrency space.

7x24 Newsflash

06:03 2025-07-07
Deloitte survey: British companies lose interest in investing in the United States
According to a Deloitte survey published on Monday, UK executives see the US as a much less attractive investment destination and are now more bullish on opportunities at home and in surrounding markets. Only + 2 per cent of respondents to the Deloitte survey of chief financial officers of large UK companies see the US as an attractive place to invest, down sharply from + 59 per cent in late 2024, shortly before Mr. Trump took office. In contrast, Deloitte said UK executives were clearly interes...
05:45 2025-07-07
48 Club: Due to a background logic error, the user mistakenly received 1807 KOGE, about $86,736
48 Club, the KOGE team, tweeted that due to a logic error in the background, the first user to click to receive the reward mistakenly claimed the entire prize pool that should have been divided by 2713 users, totaling 1807 KOGE, about 86,736 US dollars. At present, the user's address funds have been transferred to Binance. "We hope that this user can take the initiative to contact us. If you are willing to return part of the funds, we are willing to allow you to keep 50% as a bug bonus. Thank yo...
05:30 2025-07-07
Trump: Any country allied with the BRICS countries' anti-US policies will receive an additional 10% tariff.
According to BlockBeats news, on July 7, US President Trump said on the Truth platform that any country allied with the BRICS anti-US policy will be subject to an additional 10% tariff. There will be no exceptions to this policy. However, he did not explain or elaborate on the "anti-US policy" mentioned in the post.
05:11 2025-07-07
Russia has started establishing a national cryptocurrency mining equipment registration system to crack down on illegal mining activities and increase taxes
According to Cryptonews, the Russian Ministry of Energy has started to compile a national cryptocurrency mining equipment registration system, with the aim of cracking down on illegal mining activities and increasing taxes. The registration system will serve as a central database for all cryptocurrency mining equipment in the country, developed by the Ministry of Energy in conjunction with the Federal Tax Service and the Ministry of Digital Development. Russian Deputy Energy Minister Petr Konyus...
05:05 2025-07-07
Metaplanet announces an increase in holdings of 2,205 BTC, bringing total holdings to 15,555 BTC
According to official news, Metaplanet Inc. (stock code: 3350), a company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, announced an increase in its holdings of 2,205 BTC, bringing its total holdings to 15,555 BTC.
04:50 2025-07-07
USDC Treasury destroys 60 million USDCs on the Ethereum chain
According to Whale Alert monitoring, at around 12:45 pm Beijing time, the USDC Treasury destroyed 60 million USDCs on the Ethereum chain.
04:35 2025-07-07
Parataxis Korea Launches $100 million Fund to Expand Bitcoin Finance Platform
Parataxis Korea has announced the launch of a $100 million fund to expand its bitcoin finance platform, which will selectively deploy capital to tap opportunities in the Korean digital and institutional markets. Parataxis Korea is a new company name changed after bitcoin-focused investment startup Parataxis Holdings signed a holding agreement with Bridge Biotherapeutics, Inc. to explore a bitcoin reserve strategy similar to Strategy.
04:06 2025-07-07
The US stock market's "retaliatory rebound" brings a fatal temptation: greed or fear now? Click to view...
The US stock market's "retaliatory rebound" brings a fatal temptation: greed or fear now? Click to view...
04:02 2025-07-07
The Ethereum Spot ETF saw net inflows of $219 million last week for eight consecutive weeks
According to SoSoValue data, last week's trading day (June 30 to July 3, Eastern Time) Ethereum spot ETF had a net inflow of 219 million dollars in a single week last week, and none of the nine ETFs had a net outflow. The Ethereum spot ETF with the largest weekly net inflow last week was Blackrock ETFETHA, with a weekly net inflow of $99.40 million, and the current total net inflow of ETHA is $5.62 billion. Followed by Fidelity ETFF ETH, with a weekly net inflow of $92.03 million, and the curren...
04:02 2025-07-07
Golden Noon News | List of important events at noon on July 7
7:00-12:00 Keywords: CHEEL, Tariffs, American Party, UAE 1. Musk: The "American Party" will embrace Bitcoin; 2. UAE refutes rumors: "Golden visas do not include digital currency investors"; 3. Secretary for the Treasury of Hong Kong: The goal is to issue a stablecoin license within this year. 4. The US House of Representatives crypto tax framework hearing has been postponed due to recess, and a new date has not been determined. 5. This week, CHEEL, APT, IMX and other tokens will usher in a large...
04:01 2025-07-07
1. Ministry of Commerce: Focus on artificial intelligence, technology and finance and other frontier areas to carry out institutional innovation. 2. Google AI overview function was independently...
1. Ministry of Commerce: Focus on artificial intelligence, technology and finance and other cutting-edge fields to carry out institutional innovation. 2. Google AI overview function was complained by independent publishers. 3. MIIT: Promote the innovation and development of artificial intelligence industry, and empower new industrialization at a high level. 4. Pangu team statement: strictly follow the requirements of open source licenses. 5. ByteDance open-sourced the core component of its AII D...
03:56 2025-07-07
Good progress in trade negotiations continues to boost market confidence in the revival of the US economy, but investment banks point out that the fiscal deficit caused by the "Big and America" bill may break out centrally, and the dollar depreciation storm is coming?
Good progress in trade negotiations continues to boost market confidence in the revival of the US economy, but investment banks point out that the fiscal deficit caused by the "Big and America" bill may break out centrally, and the dollar depreciation storm is coming?