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The probability of "Musk creating a new party this year" is tentatively reported at 16% on Polymarket.

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2025-06-08 14:09:10
According to the official website data, Polymarket forecasts that the probability of "Musk creating a new party within this year" is 16%, and the probability of "Musk creating a new party by the end of June" is 5%.
These probabilities are down 5% and 2% respectively from yesterday.
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