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Polymarket上预测特朗普当选概率降至55%,哈里斯胜选概率升至43%

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2024-08-01 08:18:33
Polymarket 上预测特朗普赢得 2024 年美国总统选举的概率下降至 55%,卡马拉·哈里斯(Kamala Harris)赢得 2024 年美国总统选举的概率上升至 43%。
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7x24 Newsflash

00:56 2025-06-06
Tesla recorded the largest decline in history, and the value of Musk's holdings shrank by more than 19.50 billion dollars
On June 6th, due to Musk and Trump's mutual tear last night, Tesla fell more than 14%, and the market value shrank by $153 billion, setting the largest single-day decline in history. Musk holds about 12.8% of Tesla's stock, affected by this, the market value of this part of the stock has shrunk by more than 19.50 billion dollars.
00:53 2025-06-06
Investment boss Bill Ackman: support Trump and Musk, the two should coexist peacefully
Bill Ackman, the investment boss and CEO of Pershing Square, said on social media that he supports President Trump as well as Musk, and believes that in the interest of the United States, they should coexist peacefully. People are stronger together than apart.
00:25 2025-06-06
UberCEO: Companies are considering using stablecoins to reduce operating costs
The CEO of Uber recently announced that the company is considering using stablecoins to reduce operating costs. He believes that the development of stablecoins is very promising, especially for global companies.
00:25 2025-06-06
A whale opened a lot of "corpse picking" after the liquidation of James Wynn's position, and the meat has been cut and lost $17.08 million
According to Ember monitoring, a whale in the James Wynn position after the liquidation of strong flat open more "pick up the body", two and a half hours ago cut meat position squaring back 17.08 million dollars profit. He twice opened more BTC and ETH after the liquidation of the James Wynn position, playing the idea of "picking up corpses": at 12 am yesterday, the James Wynn position was liquidated, and he opened long positions; at 1 am today, the James Wynn position was liquidated and positio...
00:13 2025-06-06
The cryptocurrency fear and greed index fell to 45.
Today, the Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index fell to 45, and the rating was changed from Greed to Fear. Note: The threshold of the Fear Index is 0-100, including indicators: volatility (25%) + market volume (25%) + social media popularity (15%) + market research (15%) + the proportion of Bitcoin in the entire market (10%) + Google hot word analysis (10%).
00:07 2025-06-06
Arthur Hayes: Circle listing will bring crypto IPO boom
Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, said in a post on social media that today is a brilliant day. Has the ICO spirit of 2017 metamorphosed into the IPO boom of 2025-2027? This is the beginning of the frenzy. In the end, it will end with a blockbuster IPO similar to EOS, sucking up huge amounts of fiat capital and plummeting after the opening bell.
00:04 2025-06-06
The number of major bitcoin futures holders on the CME has reached 217, a record high
The number of major bitcoin futures holders on the CME has reached an all-time high of 217, an increase of 36% from the beginning of the year, indicating a significant increase in institutional investor interest in bitcoin. Since the beginning of 2024, the number of large traders has continued to rise steadily, indicating that institutional allocations to bitcoin have become a consistent trend rather than an opportunistic trade.
00:01 2025-06-06
Trump responded to Musk: You should have turned against me months ago
Trump tweeted on the Truth Social platform that he didn't mind Musk turning against him, but thought Musk "should have done it months ago". Trump highlighted a bill under consideration in Congress, calling it "one of the greatest bills ever" that would cut spending by $1.60 trillion and provide "the biggest tax cut ever". He warned that failure to pass would result in a 68% tax increase and "worse". Trump said: "I'm not the one who caused this mess, I'm just here to fix it."
00:01 2025-06-06
Yesterday ARKB net outflow 102 million USD
According to Farside Investors monitoring data, yesterday ARKB net outflow of $102 million, BITB net outflow of $36.70 million, grey release GBTC net outflow of $24.10 million.
23:49 2025-06-05
Renowned angel investor Naval: Musk's position is principled, Trump's position is more pragmatic
On June 6, Naval Ravikant, a well-known angel investor in Silicon Valley, said in X, "Elon's position is principled. Trump's position is pragmatic. The tech world needs Republicans right now. Republicans need technology to lead the future. Drop the tax cuts, cut some spending, and get the bill passed." It is worth noting that Musk retweeted the post.
23:37 2025-06-05
USDC Treasury destroys 75 million USDC on the Ethereum chain
According to Whale Alert, an on-chain data tracking service, at around 7:04 a.m. Beijing time, the USDC Treasury destroyed 75 million USDCs on the Ethereum chain.
23:34 2025-06-05
Golden Morning News | List of important developments overnight on June 6
21:00-7:00 Keywords: WLFI, Musk, Trump, Circle 1. Trump Media Technology Group will launch a cryptocurrency ETF. 2. WLFI issues a warning letter to FIGHT FIGHT LLC; 3. CME CEO: The "ultimate use" of cryptocurrency has not yet been discovered; 4. Truth Social Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are registered in Nevada. 5. Musk issued a denial of Trump's remarks: he did not understand the "tax bill"; 6.Circle CEO: Circle officially became a listed company on the New York Stock Exchange; 7. The new Federal ...