According to the official website data, the probability of predicting "Ripple ETF approval this year" on Polymarket is now 83%.
据官网数据,Polymarket 上预测“Ripple ETF于今年获批”的概率现报 83%。
According to Polymarket official website data, the market predicts that the probability of Bitcoin rising to $110,000 in May is 37%, the probability of rising to $115,000 is 14%, and the probability of rising to $125,000 is only 2%. The current market turnover has exceeded 13 million dollars.
Polymarket 官网数据显示,市场预测比特币 5 月涨至 11 万美元的概率为 37%,涨至 11.5 万美元的概率为 14%,涨至 12.5 万美元的概率仅为 2%。目前市场成交额已超 1300 万美元。
According to The Block data, Polymarket's new market creation reached an all-time high in April, with more than 7,000 prediction markets launched, up 20.7% from 5,800 in March. Despite the surge in market creation, the number of active traders has declined from 462,000 in January to 330,000 in April, and trading volumes have also stabilized, with total bets totaling less than $900 million in April, down from $2.60 billion in January. This could indicate a shift in the client base towards more ce...
据The Block数据,Polymarket的新市场创建在4月达到历史最高水平,共推出超过7000个预测市场,比3月的5800个增长20.7%。尽管市场创建激增,但活跃交易者数量已从1月的46.2万下降至4月的33万,交易量也趋于稳定,4月下注总额不到9亿美元,低于1月的26亿美元。报道称,这可能表明用户群体正向更集中化的市场创建者转变。
On May 3rd, according to the official website data, the probability of predicting "the US economy will enter a recession in 2025" on Polymarket is 59%, and the cumulative trading volume has exceeded 4.27 million US dollars.
5月3日消息,据官网数据,Polymarket上预测“美国经济在2025年内陷入衰退”的概率达59%,累计交易量已超过427万美元。
Nick Timiraos: Forecasts for the likelihood of a recession in 2025 on prediction market platform PolyMarket rose today, matching the highs set on April 6 and April 9, before Trump rolled back the "reciprocal" tariffs he announced on April 2.
“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos:今天,预测市场平台PolyMarket上对2025年经济衰退的可能性预测上升,与4月6日和4月9日创下的高点持平,当时特朗普还未收回4月2日宣布的“对等”关税政策。
According to the official website data, Polymarket forecasts a 53% probability of "the US economy entering a recession in 2025".
On April 23rd, according to the official website data, the probability of "Powell being removed as chairperson of the Federal Reserve in 2025" predicted on Polymarket dropped to 13%. Previously, it was reported that US President Trump said during the swearing-in ceremony of US Securities and Exchange Commission Chairperson Atkins on Tuesday local time that he has no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chairperson Powell, although he is disappointed that the Federal Reserve has not cut interest r...
4月23日消息,据官网数据,Polymarket上预测“鲍威尔在2025年被免去美联储主席职务”的概率降至13%。 此前报道,美国总统特朗普在当地时间周二出席美国证交会主席阿特金斯就职宣誓仪式中表示,他无意解雇美联储主席鲍威尔,尽管他对美联储没有更快地降息感到失望,并呼吁美联储降息。
On April 20, according to the official website data, Polymarket forecasts that the probability of the US economy falling into recession within 2025 is 58%.