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12月非农大超预期 华尔街大行纷纷削减降息押注

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2025-01-10 17:29:33

1. 富国银行:美联储在3月份降息的可能性越来越小。
2. 花旗银行:预计美联储将于5月进行下一次降息,此前预期为1月。
3. 摩根大通:鉴于最新的非农就业数据(强劲),预计美联储将在6月进行下一次降息,而此前的预测为3月。
4. 美国银行:降息周期或已结束;基本假设是美联储将较长时间维持利率不变,但下一步行动的风险倾向于加息。
5. 高盛集团:将美联储今年降息幅度从75个基点下调至50个基点;预计美联储将在6月和12月分别降息25个基点。
6. 摩根士丹利:非农报告应会降低近期美联储降息的可能性;由于通胀前景更加有利,3月降息的可能性仍然较大。
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